Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003332 0.003660 0.004011 0.004415 0.004866 0.005356 0.005930
2026-01-25 0.002742 0.003196 0.003715 0.004355 0.005126 0.006032 0.007184
2026-02-01 0.002430 0.002947 0.003566 0.004369 0.005389 0.006655 0.008361
2026-02-08 0.002175 0.002721 0.003399 0.004313 0.005525 0.007098 0.009327
2026-02-15 0.001962 0.002518 0.003230 0.004222 0.005587 0.007429 0.010152
2026-02-22 0.001828 0.002402 0.003158 0.004243 0.005787 0.007947 0.011275
2026-03-01 0.001748 0.002347 0.003158 0.004354 0.006113 0.008663 0.012750
2026-03-08 0.001620 0.002215 0.003038 0.004283 0.006163 0.008972 0.013633
2026-03-15 0.001505 0.002092 0.002920 0.004200 0.006184 0.009231 0.014454
2026-03-22 0.001419 0.002004 0.002844 0.004173 0.006281 0.009611 0.015503
2026-03-29 0.001360 0.001952 0.002817 0.004215 0.006488 0.010179 0.016926
2026-04-05 0.001284 0.001867 0.002735 0.004163 0.006536 0.010485 0.017918
2026-04-12 0.001213 0.001789 0.002662 0.004126 0.006618 0.010874 0.019144
2026-04-19 0.001143 0.001709 0.002581 0.004071 0.006664 0.011211 0.020323
2026-04-26 0.001094 0.001659 0.002543 0.004084 0.006828 0.011768 0.021996
2026-05-03 0.001036 0.001590 0.002470 0.004032 0.006870 0.012104 0.023263
2026-05-10 0.000977 0.001516 0.002384 0.003949 0.006846 0.012309 0.024282
2026-05-17 0.000942 0.001479 0.002357 0.003968 0.007014 0.012899 0.026200
2026-05-24 0.000924 0.001470 0.002377 0.004071 0.007347 0.013851 0.029053
2026-05-31 0.000878 0.001411 0.002307 0.004005 0.007346 0.014116 0.030369
2026-06-07 0.000834 0.001353 0.002234 0.003928 0.007317 0.014323 0.031570
2026-06-14 0.000802 0.001312 0.002191 0.003903 0.007388 0.014747 0.033362
2026-06-21 0.000781 0.001291 0.002181 0.003942 0.007596 0.015489 0.036064